ACOs: Good News for Skeptics

As TripleTree continues to cover the rapidly evolving opportunities associated with health reform, I have remained an optimist about the potential for the many health reform experiments included in the healthcare reform bill to create meaningful healthcare savings in the long term.   In particular, I have been hopeful about the various shared savings programs to meaningfully impact cost and quality in the healthcare system, and momentum has continued to build, with CMS naming 32 organizations to the Pioneer ACO program in December.

This is what makes the recent news from CBO disheartening.  Last month, they released an analysis showing that ten different demonstration programs – six disease management and four value-based payment approaches – have usually not had any meaningful impact on reducing Medicare spending.    One of these value-based demonstrations “allowed large multispecialty physician groups to share in estimated savings if they reduced total Medicare spending for their patients.”

Sound familiar?  Troublingly, this program had little to no effect on Medicare expenditures.  (The only program of the four that did have an effect on costs used bundled payments for heart bypass surgeries.)

Adding to the bad news, Leavitt Partners released a study late last year showing that of the 164 accountable care organizations (ACOs) they have identified (note that the Leavitt definition of ACO overlaps with – but doesn’t perfectly align with – the CMS definition), were somewhat evenly distributed across 41 of 50 states.  However, these same 164 were found in just 144 of the 306 hospital referring regions (HRRs) – a benchmark of regional health care markets where patients are referred for care.   While a number of these HRRs had three or more ACOs, large swaths of the country had yet to see even one yet suggesting that perhaps ACOs are springing up largely to compete with each other, rather than focusing on finding geographic areas where a new care delivery model could meaningfully reduce costs.  This is one of the issues that skeptics of the model are concerned about, as my colleague highlighted recently.

In any case, critics of the healthcare reform have certainly gotten some new ammunition in the past few weeks – we’ll be keeping an eye out for some good news to highlight in a future post.   As before, I still remain optimistic about the change in mentality that CMS’s ACO program seems to have brought in how payers and providers are rethinking the traditional and rigid zero sum game of treatment and reimbursement, allowing new ways for commercial payers and care delivery organizations to partner to deliver quality care.

Let us know what you think.

Conor Green

Conor Green is a Vice President at TripleTree covering the healthcare industry, and specializing in revenue cycle management and tech-enabled business services. You can email Conor at cgreen@triple-tree.com.

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A Big Week for ACOs

Given that this Friday is the deadline for applying for CMS ACO “Pioneer” status and is also the assumed release date for the final ACO regulations, this is sure to be a busy week for ACO news.

And as if we needed more proof that still no one knows how ACO adoption is going to shake out, we took note of the following last week:  on August 19^th, Forbes published a blog post titled “How ObamaCare is Destroying Accountable Care Organizations.”   (This was based on a post by noted healthcare policy analyst John Goodman: “Health Care Schizophrenia” )

As a key argument, the post cites how an innovative medical group in Texas called IntegraNet wouldn’t qualify for CMS ACO status, despite all the good work they are doing around measuring practicing evidence-based medicine and driving down costs because they rely on a Fee-for-Service model.

One week later, on August 26th, guess what happens?  IntegraNet became one of the first groups in the country to formally apply for ACO designation.  (To be completely fair to Goodman and to Forbes, IntegraNet clearly states that they are applying early in order to have some influence on the “burdensome rules” imposed in the regulation).

However this drama plays out, we here at TripleTree have been thinking a bit about the broader picture.  While most of the drama and headline news (and criticism!) is happening at the federal level of the CMS ACO program, there are a number of hospitals and physician groups that have quietly undertaken their own shared savings and bundled payments experiments.

In fact, Modern Healthcare published its first survey of accountable care organizations this week, identifying 13 ACOs respondents around the country (this despite the fact that CMS ACO program does not launch until 2012). To us, these experiments are the real market opportunity for ACOs, and one that has finally gotten some deserved attention on the back of the government’s healthcare reform legislation.

In fact, a great example can be seen here in our backyard with Fairview Health System’s developing relationship with the payer Medica.  A case study can be found here, but in short:  Fairview, a seven-hospital system with 49 clinics and 450 employed physicians, and Medica, with 1.6m members in the upper Midwest, decided that they could seek a more mutually beneficial relationship.  In 2009, they entered into a contract that pays Fairview based on the achievement of defined outcomes for quality and total risk-adjusted cost of care based on Fairview’s performance on certain diabetes and vascular care measures.  Essentially, if Medica members have better outcomes and lower costs than the community at large, Fairview shares in those savings.  Preliminary data is encouraging, though the relationship is requiring a “total cultural transformation” on the hospital system’s part, including a total redesign of workflow, compensation, and responsibilities. (Just think of what kind of transformation will be required to measure and achieve CMS’s 65 proposed quality measurements!)

While these quiet moves will never get the attention that Highmark’s acquisition of West Penn Alleghany that we profiled recently, this the real story of the ACO debate going on right now.  These experimental relationships between providers and payers are the ones that will prove if shared savings and bundled payments can truly bend the proverbial cost curve.

Let us know what you think.

Conor Green

Conor Green is a Vice President at TripleTree covering the healthcare industry, and specializing in revenue cycle management and tech-enabled business services. You can email Conor at cgreen@triple-tree.com.

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